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Unfortunately, if Person #2 chooses to get sick sooner, it increases the probability that Person #1 will get sick sooner. All precautions are multiplicative fac

• mikem170 6y ago
  >Unfortunately, if Person #2 chooses to get sick sooner, it increases the probability that Person #1 will get sick How does person #1 catch something if they are self isolating and don't interact with person #2? You mentioned the probability of this, an increased risk for person #1 even if they are self isolating. I can grant that there is some risk associated with this But how does that compare to the impact that these lockdowns are having on tens of millions of people. What if there won't be a vaccine soon enough, and herd immunity amongst the young is our best defense, and lockdowns just prolonged the economic misery and didn't save lives in the end? Still a possible outcome at this point.
  • brlewis 6y ago
    > How does person #1 catch something if they are self isolating and don't interact with person #2? Person #1 can't be 100% isolated. Person #2 can breathe on produce at the grocery store that supplies Person #1. Person #2 can infect Person #3 with whom Person #1 can't completely avoid interaction. I can't answer the other questions. I just think we have to proceed with caution because ending the lockdown could cause irreversible spread of the virus.