Human-rated probably not, but with SpaceX's rapid iteration strategy, if they leveraged what they're already doing with BFR they could probably get something th

Human-rated probably not, but with SpaceX's rapid iteration strategy, if they leveraged what they're already doing with BFR they could probably get something that size on the moon by then. The fact that they have working rockets going to orbit, as well as a process that iteratively improves on their methods, its not totally unreasonable. Especially when compared to Blue Origin, who has yet to put a single rocket in orbit.