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Correlation does not equal causation. I could spin the data to point out that Sweden has a fraction of the deaths as NYC and a higher antibody rate, proving tha

Correlation does not equal causation. I could spin the data to point out that Sweden has a fraction of the deaths as NYC and a higher antibody rate, proving that lockdowns don't work. I don't think data is the reason why people feel strongly one way or the other about this. Maybe risk assessment is the difference. We both look at the same data and come up with different conclusions. We might even both agree that this is most likely to peter-out from this point, but that it could get worse. We disagree on how to hedge/address both possible outcomes.

brlewis 6y ago
> I could spin the data to point out that Sweden has a fraction of the deaths as NYC and a higher antibody rate, proving that lockdowns don't work. Could you? My impression is you have too much integrity to do that. Ignoring the obvious difference between a largely rural Nordic country and one of the world's most densely populated trade centers might be hard for you. >We both look at the same data and come up with different conclusions I have yet to draw a conclusion. If you read my comment carefully, it's cautioning you against coming to a conclusion too soon.
- mikem170 6y ago
  Agreed. It would be prudent to ease out of lockdowns with the capability to return to them if hospitals are becoming overwhelmed. The county I live in is taking a phased approach to opening businesses based on the risk of exposure for workers and customers. They haven't started yet. I question some of their targets, but am glad that they have measurable targets.