The article basically says when you look at a 1000 really smart 11 year olds you don't get any Nobel prize winners. Which is a pretty obvious straw man because

The article basically says when you look at a 1000 really smart 11 year olds you don't get any Nobel prize winners. Which is a pretty obvious straw man because the base rate of Nobel prize winners is 1 in a million, plus childhoold IQ doesn't perfectly correlate with adult IQ. For instance a group of children with an average IQ of 150 will have an average IQ of 130 as adults. https://pumpkinperson.com/2015/07/26/anne-roes-study-of-extremely-eminent-scientists/ https://pumpkinperson.com/2015/07/26/anne-roes-study-of-extr... Basically the average Nobel prize winners have IQ's in the 150's.