5 ms·

Driving is by far the most dangerous thing that folks do on a regular basis. If I get delivery I don't drive, but I am offloading that risk to someone else. Ei

• michaelmrose 6y ago
  It is AS safe insofar as risk of infection. The risk of driving to the grocery store is pretty low if you are at not to much below average in your driving skills and not drunk. Current stats are I believe 1.25 deaths per 100 million vehicle miles in the US. Someone came up with a great metric to compare risk called "micromorts" https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Micromort https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Micromort Defined as a 1 in a million chance of death per unit of exposure. All causes in the US give an average of 22 per day in the US in 2010. Traveling 5 miles by car is 0.02 micromorts. Climbing Everest is aprox 38k mm if you are average competence for people who normally do such a thing. To get the risk profile of going out you would have to get the all cause probability of dying from everything else other than driving and add the chance of dying on a given trip but 0.02 is probably fairly reasonable. Infectious disease is particularly interesting because its unreasonable to assign a simple probability of infection and then probability of death because if people in aggregate opt to collectively take more risks they each may indeed face only a small initial chance of mortality but their collective choices can going forward spread the virus around and greatly increase their chances of infection in future expeditions. This is what people who want to assess the risks for themselves usually fail to get. They aren't allowed to do it because they are extremely likely to be bad at it and their risks effect others futures.