> We'll get to a point where new developers won't even know how to set up a local development environment. I think we're already there. I think system administ

> We'll get to a point where new developers won't even know how to set up a local development environment. I think we're already there. I think system administration is the current biggest stumbling block that new programmers have. Tools like repl.it, google colab, etc. remove these (stumbling blocks | learning opportunities). At many universities, a lot of code is now written in online editors that compile, run, and check against public and hidden unit tests (sort of like codewars but lower quality). I personally love learning systems administration but there is very real demand for services that abstract it all away. That said, you enumerated an effective roadmap for this kind of transition. I suspect it will generate an increased annual cost similar in magnitude to the Office 365 migration.