4 ms·
> It will be a year or more before high quality studies are done. I beg to differ. At least on paper, there is at least one trial (target size 3000 individuals
by lbeltrame 6y ago
> It will be a year or more before high quality studies are done.
I beg to differ. At least on paper, there is at least one trial (target size 3000 individuals, but they claim they might have enough power with lower numbers):
https://covidpep.umn.edu/ https://covidpep.umn.edu/
- jeffdavis 6y agoWhy do you think that will be done sooner? (Sincere question; I just don't see any dates there and looks like they are still recruiting participants.)
- lbeltrame 6y agoAccording to the updates page, they have a meeting of the DMSB today. In the previous interim report (April 22nd) they said they needed at least 200 more particpants to have sufficient statistical power.
- jeffdavis 6y agoCool! So results are maybe a few months out then? I am placing the odds of a positive result at around 25%. For vitamin D supplements to people who are deficient, I place the odds at 50%. Not that anyone cares what I think the odds are.
- lbeltrame 6y agoProbably a few weeks more is likely (unless the primary endpoint is reached earlier, but I'm doubtful). So far they have enrolled about 790 people.