4 ms·

When my observation of the universe is in stark contrast to mathematically correct analyses, I go with my lyin' eyes.

• AnimalMuppet 6y ago
  Your lyin' eyes have a pretty small sample size, though. And not of a random sample.
  • generalpass 6y ago
    > Your lyin' eyes have a pretty small sample size, though. And not of a random sample. What I vaguely recall from stats is that even a small sample size that is really far off from the larger sample is statistically nearly impossible. This means something is amiss, so I defer to my lyin' eyes. I know my eyes, don't know the authors.
  • miscPerson 6y ago
    “The thing I have noticed is that when the anecdotes and the data disagree, the anecdotes are usually right. There is something wrong with the way that you are measuring it.” — Jeff Bezos Trusting your eyes over people with replication rates in the 20-50% range (ie, social scientists) is probably a rational choice. There’s plenty of evidence that polls have systemic inaccuracies — question phrasing, people giving “right” answers, etc.
    • stuntkite 6y ago
      “You can make up a convenient story for any reality you’d prefer. Whatever you want! It’s crazy. My grandma never measured anything and she’s an airline pilot.” - Abraham Lincoln
      • miscPerson 6y ago
        I’m genuinely unsure what point you’re trying to make. Can you explain what a made up quote has in common with repeating a quote from the CEO of a famously data driven company on problems with data models?