3 ms·
> The numbers show that this is <1% fatal and probably <0.1% In New York City about 0.15% of the entire population of the city have already died from the virus
by chimprich 6y ago
> The numbers show that this is <1% fatal and probably <0.1%
In New York City about 0.15% of the entire population of the city have already died from the virus, putting a lower limit on the IFR.
Estimates of the IFR have been consistently between about 0.5% to 1% by most authorities I have confidence in.
- taeric 6y agoThat is a lower limit on the IFR in NYC. They also have more people over sixty two than city of Seattle has people. So, much more dense, with about 13% of the population an at risk group. And calculate that IFR per age band. Running WA numbers in https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23080035 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23080035 shows that the IFR here ranges from .7% to 15%(!) if you do that.