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There are millions of people in high risk groups outside of nursing homes. How do you propose protecting them? There are also millions of people in low risk gr
by JshWright 6y ago
There are millions of people in high risk groups outside of nursing homes. How do you propose protecting them?
There are also millions of people in low risk groups who care for people in nursing homes and other high risk populations. How do you propose keeping them from infecting those they are caring for?
The thread is also predicated on a very high base reproduction number. A high R0 means a very large percentage of the population needs to be immunity before "herd immunity" is a thing (on the order of 80-90%). Even with a very low IFR, that is hundreds of thousands dead.
- taeric 6y agoWe haven't dodged that bullet in our current strategy. And the more data we get, the more it looks like we haven't protected them, honestly. I'll note some of the first cases in WA included a high school student that had not been traveling. I cannot square that, how contagious this is, and the idea that it wasn't widely in that school. I think herd immunity is silly at the holistic level. At a cohort level, though, it could work reasonable. Consider, at this point we could start rotations of health workers that have the antibodies. I have said it before, but I will stress again I am just a random internet poster. Much of why I am posting this is to get challenged on it.