3 ms·
> I think the bigger question is, let's say it did arrive much earlier that we think, does that mean the virus grows at a much smaller rate than current models?
by AlexMuir 6y ago
> I think the bigger question is, let's say it did arrive much earlier that we think, does that mean the virus grows at a much smaller rate than current models?
This absolutely makes sense to me and would explain a lot of weirdness in the statistics. Less infectious, with a longer incubation period and circulating among the population for longer.
- Hokusai 6y ago> grows at a much smaller rate than current models? I think that local data, mortality in just one care center, does not seem to fit with slow spread. Many people have died in a short period of time in just one care center. But, as any small sample of data, could be just an anomaly and not a trend. I guess that right now all options are open and as data gets cleared and accumulated we will know more. With more testing it would be easier to be sure who is infected, who has been infected and how the pandemic is behaving.