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I would assume the crew of a military ship are substantially younger and healthier than the general population. Since both health and age seem to play a key rol
by yojo 6y ago
I would assume the crew of a military ship are substantially younger and healthier than the general population. Since both health and age seem to play a key role, 50% is almost certainly an upper bound, with the true number lying between 17% and 50%
- toomanybeersies 6y agoThere are indications that severity of infection is proportional to the initial viral load. I'd imagine that being locked in close quarters on a warship would subject the sailors to a higher viral load than you'd expect in the general population, and subsequently they'd have on average more severe infections, so it could be lower than 50%.
- klmadfejno 6y agoMost will be in the range of 20-40. Some will be older, but none will be kids. So take it as you will. The true number doesn't have any intuitive meaning anyway, since the likelihood of being infected is correlated with the likelihood of being symptomatic. E.g. if hypothetically people under 20 never exhibit symptoms but also never get the disease, they won't bring the asymptomatic rate down because they won't be infected in the first place. Averages suck in this context.