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From what I’ve heard, they seem to occur about every a hundred and fifty years, so one could happen any time. However, we don’t know if it’s an event that becom
by gbear605 6y ago
From what I’ve heard, they seem to occur about every a hundred and fifty years, so one could happen any time. However, we don’t know if it’s an event that becomes more likely over time or if it’s completely random chance.
- close04 6y agoTo be fair we've been more rigorously observing the Sun for ~250 years (24 solar cycles). We've had 1 major storm, mentioned in this article. We can assume weak solar cycles like the one we're in now and the one expected to come after will not bring any surprises but in the end we cannot predict them more than we can predict earthquakes.
- wcoenen 6y agoThere have been more solar flares like the Carrington Event, they just didn't hit Earth. The last one was in 2012. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_storm_of_2012 https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_storm_of_2012
- close04 6y agoAh, I read the "chance of it reoccurring" as "another massive storm hitting Earth". I'm sure they happen all the time, most just point in a different direction. We probably can't even detect the ones heading in the opposite direction from Earth, erupting from the other side of the Sun.