>> “Thus I would probably add about 15% or so to the known death toll,” she wrote to two city officials. There's a few different numbers and it's important to

>> “Thus I would probably add about 15% or so to the known death toll,” she wrote to two city officials. There's a few different numbers and it's important to keep them clear. The main number that people know is "died after being tested positive with covid-19 from a covid-19 like illness". For a while this number only included people who died in hospital. The next number (which the 40% to 60% refers to) is "died from a covid-19 related cause after testing positive, or after being suspected of being covid-19 positive". This includes all the frail people in nursing homes where tests were not carried out (they weren't being tested because it wasn't going to affect their treatment). The 15% appears to refer to all the people who live alone at home. > Interestingly per the https://www.cdc.gov/heartdisease/facts.htm https://www.cdc.gov/heartdisease/facts.htm, we see something like 647,000 heart disease deaths per year. So, I haven't done the napkin math, but could the 20%-odd spike of cardiac arrest events they mentioned have more to do with postponed surgeries? I agree that cancelled surgeries, and also people delaying seeking help when they start to have heart problems, is really worrying and has caused some of this excess death.