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> COVID-19 death counts shown here may differ from other published sources, as data currently are lagged by an average of 1–2 weeks. > *Data during this period

by rrss 6y ago

> COVID-19 death counts shown here may differ from other published sources, as data currently are lagged by an average of 1–2 weeks. > *Data during this period are incomplete because of the lag in time between when the death occurred and when the death certificate is completed, submitted to NCHS and processed for reporting purposes. This delay can range from 1 week to 8 weeks or more, depending on the jurisdiction, age, and cause of death.

jakeogh 6y ago
Indeed. As this tails off, it's going to be the official spot to check the prediction[1] linked here against. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23028036 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23028036 Also: https://mobile.twitter.com/johncardillo/status/1256577527662903298 https://mobile.twitter.com/johncardillo/status/1256577527662...
- rrss 6y ago
  Neat, so come back in a few months. Also, I haven't got a clue who John Cardillo is, but that tweet doesn't really say much other than he thinks something is a scam. The 37k currently reported at the CDC link corresponds to the deaths reported for ~12 days ago at https://github.com/nytimes/covid-19-data/blob/master/us.csv https://github.com/nytimes/covid-19-data/blob/master/us.csv, so it isn't clear that the discrepancy is not largely explained by the lag to process death certificates. EDIT: I looked at some of his other tweets, and it seems like he is upset that the count here from the National Vital Statistics System https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/index.htm https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/index.htm doesn't match the count here https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/cases-in-us.html https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/case..., and interprets that to mean that the CDC is lying to the U.S. population. I disagree with that assessment, and the CDC explains the NVSS data here: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/tech_notes.htm https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/tech_notes.htm: > Provisional death counts in this report will not match counts in other sources, such as media reports or numbers from county health departments. John Cardillo says that "You’ve been misled while lunatics try to destroy your county and steal your way of life" (presumably he means "country"?), the CDC explains the discrepancy. I'll go with the CDC.

by rrss 6y ago

jakeogh 6y ago

Indeed. As this tails off, it's going to be the official spot to check the prediction[1] linked here against. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23028036 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23028036 Also: https://mobile.twitter.com/johncardillo/status/1256577527662903298 https://mobile.twitter.com/johncardillo/status/1256577527662...

rrss 6y ago
Neat, so come back in a few months. Also, I haven't got a clue who John Cardillo is, but that tweet doesn't really say much other than he thinks something is a scam. The 37k currently reported at the CDC link corresponds to the deaths reported for ~12 days ago at https://github.com/nytimes/covid-19-data/blob/master/us.csv https://github.com/nytimes/covid-19-data/blob/master/us.csv, so it isn't clear that the discrepancy is not largely explained by the lag to process death certificates. EDIT: I looked at some of his other tweets, and it seems like he is upset that the count here from the National Vital Statistics System https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/index.htm https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/index.htm doesn't match the count here https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/cases-in-us.html https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/case..., and interprets that to mean that the CDC is lying to the U.S. population. I disagree with that assessment, and the CDC explains the NVSS data here: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/tech_notes.htm https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/tech_notes.htm: > Provisional death counts in this report will not match counts in other sources, such as media reports or numbers from county health departments. John Cardillo says that "You’ve been misled while lunatics try to destroy your county and steal your way of life" (presumably he means "country"?), the CDC explains the discrepancy. I'll go with the CDC.