> The likelihoods associated with any particular individual are not relevant and do not affect the conclusions. You misunderstood GP's statement. For example,

> The likelihoods associated with any particular individual are not relevant and do not affect the conclusions. You misunderstood GP's statement. For example, this statement from the article: "Around 1 in 20 people infected with COVID-19 need to go to an ICU (Intensive Care Unit)." is grossly misleading as it's dependent on having reliable infection rates (which no one has).