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Funnily enough, this entire project sprung out of my trying to replicate the Imperial model a month ago. I found the slow part was the community transmission ke
by andyljones 6y ago
Funnily enough, this entire project sprung out of my trying to replicate the Imperial model a month ago. I found the slow part was the community transmission kernel, and was surprised to find no epidemiological literature on applying fast multipole methods to the problem. I was even _more_ surprised to find there was no easy-to-use black-box fast multipole method implementation out there.
So I wrote one! It felt like a nice balance between 'doing something useful' and 'stepping on epidemiologists' toes'.
Incidentally, I believe the Imperial model solves things by dividing the region up into cells of ~half a km across and assuming everyone in the cell is at the center. I didn't know this when I started the project, but kinda assumed it'd do something like that when I couldn't find any work on FMM in epidemiology.
- buboard 6y agothanks for doing this. YEs, the imperial model seems to be "Simcity for pandemics", but i m not sure why it was considered reliable since it wasnt ever calibrated to match a real world epidemic
- amluto 6y agoDid you tell the authors about your algorithm?
- andyljones 6y agoI sent some emails and didn't hear anything back. I'm hoping this post'll get organic attention for it, and I intend on sending more emails and - now you've prompted me! - opening an issue on the tracker too.