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AI Outperforms Human Intel Analysts in a Key Area
- anigbrowl 7y agoHe cites the experience of a group of Israeli educators assigned to write a new textbook for the Ministry of Education. They anticipated that it would take them a fraction of the amount of time they knew it would take another similar team. They couldn’t explain why they were overconfident; they just were. If you don't project confidence, the sad reality is that your job might be given to someone else and your contributions discounted; being bluntly honest about your own limitations or uncertainty often provokes a hostile reaction, so people have to blather a lot to sound smart before making negative or pessimistic assessments. Machines don't suffer from either ego or anxiety, giving them a significant leg-up in any decision-making that feels competitive.