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Multiple groups of experts have released plans to reopen the country [1], and I'm assuming this is happening all over the globe. The reason some people are not
by ryanwaggoner 6y ago
Multiple groups of experts have released plans to reopen the country [1], and I'm assuming this is happening all over the globe. The reason some people are not debating them is that they find the options very unpalatable, so instead they turn to armchair experts who write authoritative-sounding treatises that tell us what we want to hear.
1. Examples: https://www.vox.com/2020/4/10/21215494/coronavirus-plans-social-distancing-economy-recession-depression-unemployment https://www.vox.com/2020/4/10/21215494/coronavirus-plans-soc...
- specialist 6y agoGood stuff. Thanks. Very quick response, because I will go back and read all the linked plans more thoroughly. I want more of Center for American Progress's "Step #6: Targeted, gradual lifting of restrictions", done more concretely. https://www.americanprogress.org/issues/healthcare/news/2020/04/03/482613/national-state-plan-end-coronavirus-crisis/ https://www.americanprogress.org/issues/healthcare/news/2020... Apologies, because I'm way more arm wavy than pedantic, so always struggle to explain myself: I expect: Concrete targets with concrete numbers, to be revised as necessary. Repeating from above "Downward trend for X days." Explicit preconditions and assumptions. Like "3 day supply surplus of PPE, with excess mfg capacity to allow ramp up." and "Sufficient testing (per capita) with X hours turnaround with < X false negatives." Automatic actions, consequences when targets & thresholds are reached. Like "Restore social isolation if trends are flat or increasing for X days." Initially, best guess for targets and thresholds are just fine, then iterate as we mature. PS- CAP omitted temperature screenings, which I currently think must be part of the overall strategy.