4 ms·

Yep - it's easy to look back at all of the bad HN predictions from two years ago: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=16683278 https://news.ycombinator.com/ite

• aaomidi 7y ago
  It would be interesting to see the demographic changes that come with Facebook. I have a feeling younger users are leaving and older users (especially now that they're more isolated than before) are joining.
  • sanderjd 7y ago
    But that's what the theory has been for years. At some point if it's actually become only for older people like we all keep saying, you'd see that in the growth numbers, and that keeps not happening. Which is what the parent meant about how we've been wrong on this for a long time.
    • aaomidi 7y ago
      The data doesn't really talk about the demographics of the users from what I've seen. Maybe I'm wrong.
      • sanderjd 7y ago
        Sure, but this narrative about it being for older people and hemmorhaging younger people has been going on for so long that if it were true, there is no way the growth could have been what it's been, because they would have run out of people in that demographic. The more plausible explanation is that young people are still joining, even if perhaps begrudgingly.
• thatcat 7y ago
  Or growth is not in the US market and predictions were right.