4 ms·
> Since there really hasn't been a capitulation, where everyone who would ever sell actually sold, it's likely the bears are still in control. I have heard thi
by sseagull 6y ago
> Since there really hasn't been a capitulation, where everyone who would ever sell actually sold, it's likely the bears are still in control.
I have heard this before, but I am having trouble feeling this. How do you determine capitulation? We had several days where trading was halted for a time due to steep losses, and 3/16 was the second biggest percentage loss in history (for the Dow at least).
If that isn't capitulation, what is? Hitting the 20% circuit breaker a few days in a row? Only in 1987 has the market fallen more than 20% in a day.
One reason I think the market is rising is because "everyone who would ever sell actually sold". Therefore, only the eternal optimists are left; the pessimists are sitting this one out.
- quickthrowman 6y agoHere’s why I don’t think it was capitulation. Check out google trends for “how to trade stocks” or a variation thereof. There was massive retail interest in buying the big dip, people aren’t interested in buying when capitulation has happened. Perhaps the Fed intervened early enough to prevent a retest of the bottom, but I wouldn’t count on it.