5 ms·

He also implied there won't be more than 0.1% of the US population infected overall, https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1239755145233289217 https://twitter.com

He also implied there won't be more than 0.1% of the US population infected overall, https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1239755145233289217 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1239755145233289217

pinkfoot 7y ago
And he might still be right. But - and here is the rub - it will be because the lockdown interrupted person-to-person transfers, and not because the inert bases making up the virus suddenly decided all by themselves, and all over the world, to lower their R0 from > 3 to < 1.
- bildung 7y ago
  > And he might still be right. The US already has over 1M cases, so 0.3%?
  - frank2 7y ago
    1M confirmed cases; actual cases are many times higher than that.
    - marvin 7y ago
      He was definitely wrong by a factor of 3, then! But probably more.
zaroth 7y ago
I don’t see that. The paper he linked to in that tweet is a high level review of treatment options. Where exactly do you see him saying that total prevalence would be 0.1%?
- bildung 7y ago
  You're right! Wrong link, and I can't find the correct one on twitter. But he also said it elsewhere, like in this letter to tesla employees: https://electrek.co/2020/03/17/elon-musk-tesla-coronavirus-panic-email/ https://electrek.co/2020/03/17/elon-musk-tesla-coronavirus-p...
  - zaroth 7y ago
    Thank you for that. Funny my comment still got downvoted. I’m pretty sure I made some enemies with my COVID opinions and someone has a bot downvoting all my posts at this point.