3 ms·

This is their math. See if you can see whats wrong... 39,500,000 -- Pop. of California 12.00% -- Pct. of people who tested positive for covid 4,740,0

by jerry1979 6y ago

This is their math. See if you can see whats wrong... 39,500,000 -- Pop. of California 12.00% -- Pct. of people who tested positive for covid 4,740,000 -- Estimated cases (Pop. * Pct.) 1,227 -- Reported deaths 0.03% -- Estimated chance of dying from covid in California (deaths/estimated cases)

Claudus 6y ago
That math seems correct, you do have an extra space on the fourth line of your statistics.
- joshuamorton 6y ago
  The positive cases aren't a representative sample, as has been said 30 times in this thread. So line 3 is bad statistical reasoning, and completely invalidates their conclusion. The only people who are getting tested are those who believe they have symptoms. This is beginning to change as we get more tests, and as a result, the % infected by their reasoning is decreasing day by day.
- jerry1979 6y ago
  The math does not reflect reality. Why do you think 12% of Californians have covid? What impact does that have on the chance of dying stat? Also, I fixed the space on the fourth line.