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I did watch the video. At about the 5-minute mark, they make a huge error in extrapolating the percent positive of tests to the general population (in Californi

I did watch the video. At about the 5-minute mark, they make a huge error in extrapolating the percent positive of tests to the general population (in California, 12% positive test rate). As many others have pointed out, that is an inexcusable error that leads them to an wildly erroneous conclusion about the mortality rate of COVID-19. Recent antibody tests in Santa Clara County and Los Angeles showed a rate around 2-4%, and those studies were criticized because those percentages are close to the levels of false positives one could expect in the antibody tests. So at best, the conclusions in the video are off by a factor of three, and most likely, more.

kolanos 7y ago
I'm not saying these doctors are correct in their statistical extrapolations. What I am saying is the Kern County anecdote being spread around to discredit them by people who haven't even seen the video are practicing in the disinformation that they accuse these doctors of perpetrating.
- brlewis 7y ago
  As I fully explained in a nearby comment, the logic in their Kern County anecdote is representative of their logic for California and New York statistics as well. I am not misrepresenting anything or practicing any form of disinformation.
  - fao_ 7y ago
    >I am not misrepresenting anything or practicing any form of disinformation. I'm not saying that you are misrepresenting or disinforming people. But, how would you know unless someone told you?
    - brlewis 7y ago
      Answered in nearby comment https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23014548 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23014548
- threatofrain 7y ago
  > The American Academy of Emergency Medicine (AAEM) and the American College of Emergency Physicians (ACEP) jointly and emphatically condemn the recent opinions released by Dr. Daniel Erickson and Dr. Artin Massihi. These reckless and untested musings do not speak for medical society and are inconsistent with current science and epidemiology regarding COVID-19. https://www.aaem.org/resources/statements/joint-endorsed/physician-misinformation https://www.aaem.org/resources/statements/joint-endorsed/phy...

kolanos 7y ago

I'm not saying these doctors are correct in their statistical extrapolations. What I am saying is the Kern County anecdote being spread around to discredit them by people who haven't even seen the video are practicing in the disinformation that they accuse these doctors of perpetrating.

brlewis 7y ago
As I fully explained in a nearby comment, the logic in their Kern County anecdote is representative of their logic for California and New York statistics as well. I am not misrepresenting anything or practicing any form of disinformation.
- fao_ 7y ago
  >I am not misrepresenting anything or practicing any form of disinformation. I'm not saying that you are misrepresenting or disinforming people. But, how would you know unless someone told you?
  - brlewis 7y ago
    Answered in nearby comment https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23014548 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23014548
threatofrain 7y ago
> The American Academy of Emergency Medicine (AAEM) and the American College of Emergency Physicians (ACEP) jointly and emphatically condemn the recent opinions released by Dr. Daniel Erickson and Dr. Artin Massihi. These reckless and untested musings do not speak for medical society and are inconsistent with current science and epidemiology regarding COVID-19. https://www.aaem.org/resources/statements/joint-endorsed/physician-misinformation https://www.aaem.org/resources/statements/joint-endorsed/phy...