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I'll provide counter arguments to these statements. > 1. Unlike gold, Bitcoin can cease to exist. If nobody keeps the blockchain alive, it doesn't exist any mo
by deweller 6y ago
I'll provide counter arguments to these statements.
> 1. Unlike gold, Bitcoin can cease to exist. If nobody keeps the blockchain alive, it doesn't exist any more. Try to make gold disappear from the ground!
To kill the blockchain, one would have to destroy every single copy. Try finding all of the thousands of copies of the blockchain archives around the world and make them disappear.
> 2. Unlike gold, the operators can decide to increase supply. Or reduce it. By orders of magnitude. It's a code change. Try that with gold.
The "operators" cannot arbitrarily decide to increase supply. It would require a coordinated effort by developers, miners, exchanges and other node operators. As past attempts to hardfork the bitcoin blockchain have shown, this is extraordinarily difficult.
The value of gold can theoretically be decreased by orders of magnitude which is effectively the same thing as increasing supply. Through a coordinated effort by buyers and sellers the value of gold could decrease 10x tomorrow. This is also extraordinarily difficult.
> 3. Forks are abundant. Good luck trying to invent a new element.
Yes. Bitcoin is different than gold in this respect. I would argue this is one of the advantages that digital currency has over a physical currency. Forks encourage innovation. A fork of Bitcoin does not affect the main chain.
> 4. The economical benefit of Bitcoins is much too small to explain the energy use. It can't even keep up with the transaction count of a small town. The energy expenses can only be justified by expected future return. This is actually where Bitcoin is somewhat comparable to gold as a valuable. It's just that gold actually has real-world uses besides acting as currency. So we know the price for gold won't go to zero. Unless of course we find ways to defy our current physics!
The market disagrees with your first statement. If there is no real economic benefit to Bitcoin, then the market has been operating irrationally for many years. While this is possible, it is becoming increasingly difficult to justify a conclusion that the market is irrational.
Bitcoin also has "real-world" uses besides currency. There are timestamping functions and tokenization protocols that provide a benefit beyond currency. These are all digital uses, but very real.
- lolc 6y agoOh I don't want to kill Bitcoin. I'm just saying it can disappear. Gold can't. Similarily, gold miners can't just agree to alter supply. It's impossible for them to increase supply ten times across the board. You claim there is a "main chain" in Bitcoin as if it were a physical fact. That's one of the myths! It's called consensus protocol for a reason. Forks are part of the protocol and sometimes splits require manual intervention to stabilize the network. The scarcity of Bitcoin is arbitrary. Markets being irrational for years is nothing new. As long as there is influx of capital, it keeps going. Like gods or other fiat currencies, Bitcoin depends on people believing in it to exist. I agree that there are other uses for Bitcoin but they are marginal. The high transaction costs of bitcoin mean that if we ever wanted those features badly enough, a service with less energy consumption would be established.
- Sargos 6y ago>Similarily, gold miners can't just agree to alter supply. It's impossible for them to increase supply ten times across the board. An asteroid containing gold can be mined to drastically increase the supply. A gold asteroid could just hit Earth today and we could increase the supply with current technology. Yes this is a silly scenario but it's possible and just as likely as Bitcoin randomly inflating its supply. Both can pretty much be written off as impossible when discussing supply of Gold or Bitcoin.
- lolc 6y agoIt is a category error to equate cultural properties with physical properties. Gold is universally scarce, durable beyond our imagination, and perfectly fungible. While there are other elements with comparable physical properties, cultural artifacts like Bitcoin can never qualify. The guarantees of Bitcoin rely on technology (algorithms, Internet-connectivity) and society (self-interest). If any of those things fail (say a broken hash, a network partition, or just disinterest) Bitcoin can't fulfill its promises anymore. But one can believe in them holding for a little while longer. If others do the same, it keeps going.