> The point of shelter-in-place is to prevent overloading of hospitals so that both COVID-19 patients and everyone else could get care - and have their lives sa

> The point of shelter-in-place is to prevent overloading of hospitals so that both COVID-19 patients and everyone else could get care - and have their lives saved by medics (which is often possible). We achieved that, and yet we're still locked down. Why? The fears of hospital overruns was based on scary numbers that turned out to not reflect reality at all. The hospitalization rate is far lower than we thought. The infection fatality rate is far lower than was implied by the CFRs being thrown around. > This is scaremongering. If you have any estimates, go ahead, and pit them against what is now the #1 cause of death in many regions across the US. No, it's not. But anyway, I predict at least an extra 50,000 suicides (i.e. a 2x risk of suicide). Similarly, we could easily see twice as many opioid overdoses which would be another 60,000. (I feel more confident in the spike in suicide than the spike of overdoses because it may be that the fentanyl supply chain has been disrupted). > The number of people who died from COVID-19 is about the same as people who died in the Vietnam war at this point. And also roughly the same as the number of people who died from the Flu last year. And about 1/10 of the estimated 480,000 smoking deaths per year in the US. But, I'm not saying that Covid is not a big deal. What I'm actually saying is that lockdowns don't reduce mortality whatsoever, rather they increase it, because containment is not a viable strategy and the lockdown harms groups who never would have been harmed by Covid. I'm predicting well over 100,000 Covid deaths this year. > There is also no way to bring people back to life. Cry me a river about destruction of wealth. The lockdown is destroying life, not "just" wealth. And I don't just mean in wellbeing, which we've absolutely destroyed. We're causing actual deaths by foregoing preventative care, furloughing tens of thousands of healthcare workers across the country, and increasing mortality from suicide/overdose/all cause mortality in general. -- Here, go ahead and read https://news.ycombinator.com/reply?id=22961835&goto=threads%3Fid%3D__blockcipher__%2322961835 https://news.ycombinator.com/reply?id=22961835&goto=threads%...