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> You will note that your own source estimates a large benefit of maintaining a lockdown until June 1, and considers maintaining the lockdown until July 1 esse
by __blockcipher__ 6y ago
> You will note that your own source estimates a large benefit of maintaining a lockdown until June 1, and considers maintaining the lockdown until July 1 essentially a wash. That's hardly a ringing endorsement of your views.
I provided the source to show that models are being formed. My own views materially differ from the authors', particularly on that point.
> overwhelming the health care system causes preventable deaths from other causes, as well as preventable deaths and burnouts among exhausted health care professionals.
Well, but what we've actually done is exactly that, in the opposite direction. Rather than our healthcare system being crushed by hordes of covid patients, across the US in places that aren't being ravaged (so, everywhere that isn't new york/new jersey/etc), we are dramatically scaling _down_ our healthcare capacity due to having furloughed tens of thousands of medical workers for the exact reason that people are postponing elective surgeries and other preventative measures that we know reduce mortality.
In other words, you're right about preventable deaths from other causes, but we actually are causing those right now by being locked down.