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That was an obvious error in their reasoning. Not surprising, though. Idiotic (and, yes, such an error IS idiotic) fumbling with statistics is displayed on a
by lurquer 6y ago
That was an obvious error in their reasoning.
Not surprising, though.
Idiotic (and, yes, such an error IS idiotic) fumbling with statistics is displayed on a daily basis.
It doesn't matter what 'side' you are on: idiots abound.
Doomer fallacies:
Charts showing exponential growth of positives, without taking into account the exponential growth of tests...
Flu-Bro fallacies:
Antibody surveys that don't take into account false positives and make no mention of the expected number of positives in a population (both needed to make ANY sense of the results.)
Doomer fallacies:
No distinction between dying 'with' versus dying 'from'.
Flu-Bro fallacies:
Relying on death counts from the Chinese Communist Party.
Doomer fallacies:
Comparing 'positive' test rates between populations and countries with utterly different criteria for administering tests.
etc.
One thing you can count on, though: You will usually get a downvote on Hacker News if you deviate from the mainstream.
- alexpetralia 6y agoYes I have historically found many doctors to not understand basic statistics, which has somewhat surprised me.
- chimprich 6y ago> One thing you can count on, though: You will usually get a downvote on Hacker News if you deviate from the mainstream. Previously you were in a discussion with me arguing with great confidence that the virus outbreak would be a distant memory in two months. I just looked it up; it was 61 days ago. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22434499 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22434499 You were using terms like "chicken littles" then. I'm all for reading different viewpoints, but if you're going to throw around insults like "doomer", you're not likely to get a civilised discussion going.
- lurquer 6y agoWell, don’t known about your neck of the woods, but things are opening up here in two days. So, so I was a few days off in my estimate. Statistically insignificant deaths, no overwhelmed hospitals, no body bags in the hallways or rationing of ventilators. No millions of deaths now any other of the nonsense being predicted here two months ago. The talk now, as evidenced by the front page, is other topics... stimulus checks and the like. Are things as you feared two months ago?
- dboreham 6y agoWith vs from is largely bogus.