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Mainframes didn’t go away; we just renamed them to “the cloud.” Smartphones won’t go away. Yes, wearables will replace some use cases – just as personal comput

Mainframes didn’t go away; we just renamed them to “the cloud.” Smartphones won’t go away. Yes, wearables will replace some use cases – just as personal computers replaced some mainframe use cases and smartphones replaced some personal computer use cases. But smartphones will continue to evolve, just as one can draw a line from time sharing on an IBM 709 to spinning up a Kubernetes cluster.

Wowfunhappy 7y ago
Even without any particularly futuristic hardware, I'm of the belief that someone could design a smartwatch which does 80% of what I use a smartphone for. We primarily need better voice recognition (where better = basically flawless), and more power-efficient CPUs and radios. A smartwatch can give directions, read and reply to messages, look up information, display schedules, and take pictures—all without taking my attention too far away from the real world. Anything longer I may as well do on a computer or tablet. I wouldn't be able to read the news or random forums, but the inability to do that 24/7 would be healthy IMO. I don't forsee a future where smartwatches could replace smartphones for everyone, but I do think they could replace them for a lot of people, me included.
- saagarjha 7y ago
  You can’t always dictate responses to your watch, and trying to respond with anything that doesn’t fit on the screen is really inconvenient.
  - Wowfunhappy 7y ago
    In my company's open office, I can whisper into my Pebble and it'll still pick it up†. On e.g. the subway there would be way too much background noise, but I can imagine a future where AI filters that out. And, society can adapt. People used to talk on the phone in public constantly (and still do to a large extent, just less). This would be far less intrusive. † For what it's worth, this is Google's AI. Rebble, the community-run service that lets Pebble's operate post-shutdown, chose Google for voice dictation, and as a result its more accurate now than it was originally.
- mantap 7y ago
  How would you get any privacy? I don't think other people on the train are going to be happy with me dictating "eggplant emoji smirk emoji" to a wearable.
  - capableweb 7y ago
    If your texts frequently contain a particular phrase, have aliases! Saying "purple sun" will actually dictate "eggplant emoji smirk emoji"
  - deleted 7y ago
    [deleted]

Wowfunhappy 7y ago

Even without any particularly futuristic hardware, I'm of the belief that someone could design a smartwatch which does 80% of what I use a smartphone for. We primarily need better voice recognition (where better = basically flawless), and more power-efficient CPUs and radios. A smartwatch can give directions, read and reply to messages, look up information, display schedules, and take pictures—all without taking my attention too far away from the real world. Anything longer I may as well do on a computer or tablet. I wouldn't be able to read the news or random forums, but the inability to do that 24/7 would be healthy IMO. I don't forsee a future where smartwatches could replace smartphones for everyone, but I do think they could replace them for a lot of people, me included.

saagarjha 7y ago
You can’t always dictate responses to your watch, and trying to respond with anything that doesn’t fit on the screen is really inconvenient.
- Wowfunhappy 7y ago
  In my company's open office, I can whisper into my Pebble and it'll still pick it up†. On e.g. the subway there would be way too much background noise, but I can imagine a future where AI filters that out. And, society can adapt. People used to talk on the phone in public constantly (and still do to a large extent, just less). This would be far less intrusive. † For what it's worth, this is Google's AI. Rebble, the community-run service that lets Pebble's operate post-shutdown, chose Google for voice dictation, and as a result its more accurate now than it was originally.
mantap 7y ago
How would you get any privacy? I don't think other people on the train are going to be happy with me dictating "eggplant emoji smirk emoji" to a wearable.
- capableweb 7y ago
  If your texts frequently contain a particular phrase, have aliases! Saying "purple sun" will actually dictate "eggplant emoji smirk emoji"
- deleted 7y ago
  [deleted]