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The issue is that it is a false dichotomy. You can't just "reopen" the economy and everything goes back to normal. Sweden has effectively voluntarily shutdown w
by 2019-nCoV 6y ago
The issue is that it is a false dichotomy. You can't just "reopen" the economy and everything goes back to normal.
Sweden has effectively voluntarily shutdown with >80% reductions in hospitality spending, etc.
Until a region effectively eradicates the disease (elimination, vaccination or haphazard herd immunity) there is no option of returning to normality.
- loopz 6y agoModern pandemic response analysis is of course not weighing pro's and cons of lockdown, but instead anticipating outcomes from different scenarios and mitigation strategies. Ie. What may be the outcomes of not locking down by any measure, and is this response in any way realistically viable? The deeper reflections are missing from public discourse. The problem is that scenario analysis cannot really be open to the public, and is also highly complex where "small" variables may turn out to have high impacts.