3 ms·
I'm also not asserting we know for sure that there is a 20-50x (or something along those lines) undercount in cases. Just that there is a huge amount of uncerta
by argonaut 6y ago
I'm also not asserting we know for sure that there is a 20-50x (or something along those lines) undercount in cases. Just that there is a huge amount of uncertainty with IFR and hospitalization rates, and none of your points really rule out that uncertainty.
- taneq 6y agoAlso true, and there's a chance I'm wrong and most people have already had a mild version and everything will be fine. There's enough evidence suggesting that the rates of severe complications and death are far higher than we're comfortable with, though, that I, for one, would prefer to err on the side of caution rather than run with "well, it might not kill 10% or more of the population."