4 ms·

The goal of lockdown in Germany is to get herd immunity in a controlled way ( over a longer period of time, without stressing our healthcare etc)

• taneq 6y ago
  What's their estimate of the period of time required to do this?
  • rusticpenn 6y ago
    No real estimates. The number of hospital and ICU beds are being increased rapidly. Medical students are now allowed to work with patients until the crisis passes ( thus increasing the healthcare capacity). After carefuly observation the plan is to slowly reduce the stringent lock down measures and increase the infection rate, while keeping the medical staff sane. We will get the next update in the first week of may, whether the first step of "easing" worked as intended.
    • taneq 6y ago
      I'll be interested to see how it goes. Very early on (start of March) I did some calcs for Australia and basically estimated that we'd need to be in partial lockdown for something like a decade in order to not overwhelm the health system, even assuming a significant increase in hospital beds. The numbers are a little more favourable at this point though.
      • rusticpenn 6y ago
        This is a major issue. Most of the Fair halls (like halls where CEBIT etc take place regularly) have been converted to hospitals now. Robert Koch Institute has asked all hospitals to build seperate wings for CoViD19 patients as the lung infections of those affected will also create after effects that will increase healthcare needs even after the disease is "eliminated". What we are going to see is a new normal, even if we find a working vaccination soon.