> I have heard it said (probably on HN), the best standard is to compare last years death rate with this year. Financial Times article showing plots of that.

> I have heard it said (probably on HN), the best standard is to compare last years death rate with this year. Financial Times article showing plots of that. https://www.ft.com/content/6bd88b7d-3386-4543-b2e9-0d5c6fac846c https://www.ft.com/content/6bd88b7d-3386-4543-b2e9-0d5c6fac8... I agree with that excess mortality is likely to capture the true state of things. Or at least it's primary outcome.