2 ms·
Yeah, I described extremes (for simple maths) to just show that it's plausible that a virus could have this effect given those conditions. If you look here, yo
by mewpmewp2 7y ago
Yeah, I described extremes (for simple maths) to just show that it's plausible that a virus could have this effect given those conditions.
If you look here, you can see only 72% who die are above 64
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-age-sex-demographics/ https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-age-se...
Median I would guesstimate based on this data to be around 72 or so.
But the point is how many people are dying who weren't productive members of society and how many years these people would have lived if coronavirus didn't strike them.
For illustration purposes if it always killed those first who were closest to death anyway and death rate was 2% it would mean I guess 74 * 0,02 years lost for median person or 1.5 years.
This number will increase of course because true nature is more random.
And to be completely fair then if in US each year dies a bit less than 1% of people and not all of them at old age. So let's say it's 0.6% dying of old age, then 2% death rate might mean around 3 years lost for median person.
But as I said this are illustrative and non-precise calculations.
If I had to guess I would say it's reasonable to estimate that median person would lose 1 - 7 years of their life due to coronavirus.