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>> The IMHE model is very influential, but it has been forecasting an unrealistically quick decline in cases that has encouraged public health officials to seri
by icelancer 7y ago
>> The IMHE model is very influential, but it has been forecasting an unrealistically quick decline in cases that has encouraged public health officials to seriously consider trying to get to this minimal level of cases.
It also blew their 95% CIs over half of the measured data points, with social distancing built into the model (so no moving the goalposts here). It's a worthless model.