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they just released the code for the Imperial model that the UK apparently uses https://github.com/mrc-ide/covid-sim https://github.com/mrc-ide/covid-sim Seems
by buboard 6y ago
they just released the code for the Imperial model that the UK apparently uses
https://github.com/mrc-ide/covid-sim https://github.com/mrc-ide/covid-sim
Seems like a game of simcity, honestly. With so many parameters that are not very precisely known, it's easy to go into fantasyland. On second look, this model has not been used to reproduce the epidemiology of a previous , real world infection. weird
i think you re more likely to get accurate predictions with typical SEIR models
BTW this is the model the US uses (i think): https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.27.20043752v1 https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.27.20043752v...
It's statistical in nature, so closer to real world