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> How is it moral to order people to shelter in place when their risk of death is 0.01% for 18-45 year olds The data from your second source indicates that the
by smallgovt 6y ago
> How is it moral to order people to shelter in place when their risk of death is 0.01% for 18-45 year olds
The data from your second source indicates that the case fatality rate in New York for 18-45 yr olds is 0.833% (14 deaths in 1705 confirmed cases). Where are you getting 0.01% from?
- glofish 6y agothe number of cases (infections) is at least an order of magnitude higher than the reported numbers.
- deleted 6y ago[deleted]
- landryraccoon 6y agoI don't see how the math for that works out unless literally everyone in NYC is already infected. 0.1% of the population of New York City has already died from Covid. The only way to get the CFR much lower is if virtually everyone is an asymptomatic carrier.
- jhwang5 6y agoFood for thought - if say 70% of cases are asymptomatic or mild (and therefore they don't get tested), then NYC's CFR already drops to 0.2% for the bucket you are referring to.
- newacct583 6y agoIn fact that's the number reported for that demographic from Wuhan data way back in January, so it wouldn't surprise anyone. It's still 20x higher than the one quoted upthread.