> https://045.medsci.ox.ac.uk/files/files/report-effective-app-configurations.pdf https://045.medsci.ox.ac.uk/files/files/report-effective-app... This is prett

> https://045.medsci.ox.ac.uk/files/files/report-effective-app-configurations.pdf https://045.medsci.ox.ac.uk/files/files/report-effective-app... This is pretty much what I was looking for, thanks. So in their model you need 80% of smartphone users (56% of the population) to opt in to the contact tracing for it to be effective. But iiuc they also assume what — to me — looks like a really high compliance rate; it assumes that people self-isolate for up to two weeks with 2% daily drop-out rate. That seems fine for people with trivial WFH jobs, or those in industries with good job protections, but pretty unlikely for people whose choice is between ignoring the guidelines and losing their income. I imagine with the excuse of "the whole country is in lockdown" gone, employers will be less tolerant of absence, even if — as in the models — it can be a significant fraction of the country in self-isolation at any time.