3 ms·

The problem with your theoretical argument is that we already know there is no standard treatment that works, and ventilators have a mortality rate of 66% to 90

• gus_massa 7y ago
  The 90% is probably wrong[1]. Anyway, the current method is saving 10%-34% of the patients. Nobody can guaranty that is perfect, but it's the best guess after years of treating patients with similar symptoms. [1] What is the original source of the 90%? Is it from this article: https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2765184 https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2765184 From the article: > The study included all sequentially hospitalized patients between March 1, 2020, and April 4, 2020, inclusive of these dates. > As of April 4, 2020, for patients requiring mechanical ventilation (n = 1151, 20.2%), 38 (3.3%) were discharged alive, 282 (24.5%) died, and 831 (72.2%) remained in hospital. If you ignore the 831 patients that were still in the hospital, and consider only the 38 that survived and the 282 that died, you get 282/(282+38)=88%. It is a very short time. What are the odds for people that survive more than 4 days in the hospital?