3 ms·
The Australian approach has been fairly good but this virus is persistent. Once the lockdowns kicked in the doubling rate dropped dramatically and new case num
by dwd 7y ago
The Australian approach has been fairly good but this virus is persistent.
Once the lockdowns kicked in the doubling rate dropped dramatically and new case numbers went from a peak of around 500 a day to 10-20 day for a population 1/10 the US.
From /r/coronavirusdownunder linking the stats with the lock-down measures gives a good idea of the timeframe involved.
date cases growth doubling
2020-03-21 1071 1.22 3.1
2020-03-22 1352 1.26 3.3 <== 10 days ago, Tom Hanks
2020-03-23 1716 1.27 3.5
2020-03-24 2146 1.25 3.8
2020-03-25 2431 1.13 4.0 <== 10 days ago, overseas self-isolate 14 days
2020-03-26 2805 1.15 4.5 <== 10 days ago, Vic declare State of Emergency
2020-03-27 3179 1.13 5.3
2020-03-28 3639 1.14 6.4
2020-03-29 3985 1.1 7.0 <== 10 days ago, TAS self-isolation 14 days
2020-03-30 4250 1.07 8.0 <== 10 days ago, closing borders to all
2020-03-31 4560 1.07 9.3 <== 10 days ago, rule of 4 square metres
2020-04-01 4864 1.07 11.5
2020-04-02 5136 1.06 13.6 <== 10 days ago, no social gathering
2020-04-03 5358 1.04 15.6 <== 10 days ago, WA,SA closing border
2020-04-04 5552 1.04 18.7
2020-04-05 5687 1.02 22.9
2020-04-06 5795 1.02 28.1
2020-04-07 5908 1.02 33.1
2020-04-08 6013 1.02 38.8 <== 10 days ago, mandatory hotel quarantine
2020-04-09 6103 1.01 46.5
2020-04-10 6203 1.02 52.2
2020-04-11 6292 1.01 60.7
2020-04-12 6313 1.003 69.6
2020-04-13 6359 1.007 83.5 <== 10 days ago, QLD closing border
2020-04-14 6400 1.006 96.5
2020-04-15 6447 1.007 114.2
2020-04-16 6468 1.003 106.9
2020-04-17 6523 1.009 121.1
2020-04-18 6565 1.006 129.2
2020-04-19 6606 1.006 157.3
2020-04-20 6619 1.002 165.0 <== 10 days ago, Good Friday
2020-04-21 6645 1.004 210.6
2020-04-22 6649 1.001 247.4
2020-04-23 6661 1.002 307.7
2020-04-24 6675 1.002 301.3
2020-04-25 6695 1.003 350.7
2020-04-26 6711 1.002 298.7
- donavanm 7y agoYou should look at the breakdown of cases. I was very worried for Sydney in early to mid march. What I didnt see until later was the infection acquisition data. The majority of those march cases appeared to be infected citizens returning from overseas. Locally acquired infections were only 25% of cases at the peak. The local infection rate never really hit the scary 3 day numbers.
- gonzo41 7y agoMost of the issues in north west Tassie are related to the Ruby Princess, which is just a massive scandal that hopefully we'll learn from in the future.
- donavanm 7y agoOh no doubt. The handling of the cruise ships seems to be a fiasco. Will definitely look forward to a future report on the matter.
- dwd 7y agoMost cases were confined to clusters, and many of those originated from someone coming off a cruise ship. At the moment they easily have the resources to track down every case quickly, and with a million people signed up to the app that should get easier.
- rhizome 7y agoI'm sorry, I'm dumb: what do the "10 days ago" indicate, something that happened 10 days prior to that date? Like "10 days after Good Friday?"
- dwd 6y agoI think the author was using 10 days as the average time for someone to get infected, develop symptoms, get tested and become a statistic.