Your conclusion does not follow from the premise. Perfect timing is always producing better result, but do we have a way to establish perfect timing in the mome

Your conclusion does not follow from the premise. Perfect timing is always producing better result, but do we have a way to establish perfect timing in the moment, lacking the benefit of hindsight? It's very easy to overfit the answer. If you do it too late then more people will die than could have, if you do it too early you will end up overreacting and sending economy into a tailspin every other year without a good reason. You will also lose trust of the people, killing your chances at effective containment in the future. Also, sorry about the downvotes you're getting. I think you're raising a good point and in a good manner.