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> New York City has has .02% of it population die above the base death(excess deaths) Where did you get that number? The numbers I’ve seen are several orders o
by jsjohnst 7y ago
> New York City has has .02% of it population die above the base death(excess deaths)
Where did you get that number? The numbers I’ve seen are several orders of magnitude higher.
- speakeron 7y ago2% (2 orders of magnitude above 0.02%) of 8 million (approximately the population of NYC) is 160,000 people. So that's clearly wrong being more than 3 times the entire US deaths. The numbers you've seen are probably deaths of infected people not the entire population.
- deleted 7y ago[deleted]
- jsjohnst 7y ago> The numbers you've seen are probably deaths of infected people not the entire population. No, I just slightly misread OP’s confusingly worded stat. Base deaths in NYC is around 6k/month. Covid-19 deaths alone have been way above that number. Numbers are obviously not in for the month of April yet, but it’s looking more like it’ll be closer to 30k deaths in NYC per CDC[0]. So that’s 24k more deaths per month, aka 5x (where my several orders of magnitude came from). If you use the scale OP used, that’s about .3% of NYC population in excess deaths, so one order of magnitude higher. [0] it’s at 26k right now with a bit under a week left - https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/index.htm https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/index.htm
- JamesBarney 7y agoExcess deaths in New York City: 19,200. Population of New York City: 8.4 million. 19,200 / 8.4 million 0.22% dead. 20% infection rate = IFR of ~1.1% https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/21/world/coronavirus-missing-deaths.html https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/21/world/coronav...
- deleted 7y ago[deleted]
- jsjohnst 7y agoYes, I know those numbers. That’s not what OP said that I was responding too (see reply to sibling comment for more context).