8,399,000 people in NYC, 21 percent of that is 1,763,790. 1% of that is 17,000. So far as of Saturday at 6:49pm EST 16,919 have officially died in NYC. I thin

8,399,000 people in NYC, 21 percent of that is 1,763,790. 1% of that is 17,000. So far as of Saturday at 6:49pm EST 16,919 have officially died in NYC. I think the anti-body test in this case is fairly close and the death rate is probably 1% more or less depending on the demographic distribution. Obviously there are a number of people in NYC who will die over the next month even if all new infections where halted right now. The serology tests are just wrong when only a small number of people in the sample were infected, which is what we’ve seen from the stuff in CA so far.