3 ms·

I'm sure there are some misdiagnoses, but enough to skew the results in any significant way? I'd bet $1000 to $1 that the number of unreported cases caused by c

• ponsin 7y ago
  Infection cases or death cases? I would assume that more people get the virus than are reported because some people are asymptomatic, there might not be enough tests and some people might opt not to get tested and go to the hospital. With regard to the number of deaths, I would be surprised if that was under reported since it is very hard to ignore a death. If someone was in critical condition due to breathing issues, I would assume that they would be hospitalized and tested. In addition, if someone was in the hospital and died from something not Corona related, it seems likely that if they happened to have Corona they would be listed as a corona death due to CDC recommendations https://www.scribd.com/document/455607875/US-HHS-Document-to-Doctors-on-How-to-Certify-COVID-19-Deaths-including-Related-Deaths https://www.scribd.com/document/455607875/US-HHS-Document-to... . So seeing as total cases are likely underestimated and total deaths are likely overestimated, the 1% hardly seems to me to be the lower floor.
• coolgeek 7y ago
  I'd bet along side you. There's likely to be 10X more unreported than misattributed cases. Not to mention misattributions in the other direction - e.g California's discovery of earlier cases, and subsequent backdating or earliest known case. The attacks on counting likely/suspected cases reek of motivated reasoning