3 ms·
So it's important to note, the CDC does NOT track influenza. I cannot believe how many people are getting this wrong. They track pneumonia deaths. (They do trac
by djsumdog 7y ago
So it's important to note, the CDC does NOT track influenza. I cannot believe how many people are getting this wrong. They track pneumonia deaths. (They do track flu for infants fatalities, but that's a very specific tracking metric that can indicate very bad outbreaks).
In 2017/2018, we saw 50k ~ 60k pneumonia deaths. They then go back retroactively and estimate flu (in 2019, it was 20k to 60k).
So yes, we're past 50k COVID-19 deaths, but we're comparing three months on something that has an exponential growth and taper to a yearly average. It's not a good comparison.
If at the end of the year, COVID-19 deaths are at 70k, you could say it was 20k more than flu .. but keep in mind, the CDC is assigning everything as COVID-19 right now, and New York retroactively added 3,000 suspected deaths, leading to that bizarre one day spike.
I did a full write up on this:
https://battlepenguin.com/tech/fighting-with-the-data/ https://battlepenguin.com/tech/fighting-with-the-data/
Working with the data is fucking frustrating right now. Here are my shitty charts:
https://covid19data.ml https://covid19data.ml
- wernercd 7y agoI'm talking fatality rates COVID vs FLU. Right now, more information continues to come out showing that COVID has a roughly .5% fatality rate when you try to add in the massive number of people with no symptoms. Iceland, California, New York are places that back these numbers up. "keep in mind CDC is assigning everything COVID" exactly.
- deleted 7y ago[deleted]