I think it is not well locked down because their death rates are close to Italy (per capita, not per infected which are also similar but depend on testing proto

I think it is not well locked down because their death rates are close to Italy (per capita, not per infected which are also similar but depend on testing protocol). If you investigate the graphs then you may notice that it is a general rule that when when number of daily infected tops, it takes some time for the number of daily deaths to top. I have not run statistical analysis yet but from eying it I would say that it is about a week or more. From this point on the number of deaths will double or grow even higher. For Sweden it will mean that even when the growth of daily infected stops today, the number of daily deaths will top when it is the number of deaths is around 3000 from what follows that the total number of dead will be around 6000 (assuming that the growth of daily infected stops). It is more per capita then in Italy.