4 ms·
An IFR of 0.6%, with 2/3 of the US infected (about what you'd need for herd immunity at an R0 of 3), means ~1.3 million deaths. That's well in line with the mod
by rallison 6y ago
An IFR of 0.6%, with 2/3 of the US infected (about what you'd need for herd immunity at an R0 of 3), means ~1.3 million deaths. That's well in line with the models. The distinction between CFR and IFR was not news to the experts.