3 ms·

But the number of deaths does not agree.

• TheBlight 7y ago
  Can you elaborate?
  • kgwgk 7y ago
    Percentage of people with antibodies is similar (if you take those studies at face value). Percentage of people dead is not.
• toufka 7y ago
  There also appears to be a difference in the strains. The NYC strain seems to mostly come from the European branch, while the CA infection comes directly from China (and likely much earlier in 2020). There appears to be some difference in virulence between the strains. https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.08.20056929v2 https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.08.20056929v... and https://nextstrain.org/ncov/global https://nextstrain.org/ncov/global
  • kgwgk 7y ago
    I’ve never looked into that (I know of the hypothesis, though) but IFR in South Korea also seems to be around 1% (or higher), not 0.1%