3 ms·
What's interesting is if you look at the rest of NY numbers (-NYC,LI,Westchester). That has infection at 3.6%. Santa Clara was estimated to be 3% and LA county
by TheBlight 6y ago
What's interesting is if you look at the rest of NY numbers (-NYC,LI,Westchester). That has infection at 3.6%. Santa Clara was estimated to be 3% and LA county 4%. So it's in strong agreement with those areas.
- kgwgk 6y agoBut the number of deaths does not agree.
- TheBlight 6y agoCan you elaborate?
- kgwgk 6y agoPercentage of people with antibodies is similar (if you take those studies at face value). Percentage of people dead is not.
- toufka 6y agoThere also appears to be a difference in the strains. The NYC strain seems to mostly come from the European branch, while the CA infection comes directly from China (and likely much earlier in 2020). There appears to be some difference in virulence between the strains. https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.08.20056929v2 https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.08.20056929v... and https://nextstrain.org/ncov/global https://nextstrain.org/ncov/global
- kgwgk 6y agoI’ve never looked into that (I know of the hypothesis, though) but IFR in South Korea also seems to be around 1% (or higher), not 0.1%