3 ms·
Well crap! Now I have to go and dig up the paper that said the same things about AIDS in the 1980's. BRB!! Back!! Farr's law applied to AIDS projections. Bre
by Gibbon1 7y ago
Well crap! Now I have to go and dig up the paper that said the same things about AIDS in the 1980's.
BRB!!
Back!!
Farr's law applied to AIDS projections.
Bregman DJ1, Langmuir AD.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/2308183 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/2308183
"The 6 years of incidence data closely fit a normal distribution that crests in late 1988 and then declines to a low point by the mid-1990s. The projected size of the epidemic falls in the range of 200 000 cases. A continuing incidence of endemic cases can be expected to emerge, but we believe it will occur at a low level."